books by Ralph L. Keeney     books:     Ralph L. Keeney      Value-Focused Thinking: A Path to Creative Decisionmaking Ralph L. Keeney Harvard University Press, 1996 Enlightening and practical approach I am finishing my Masters in Operations Research and Decisions, and I had several courses on Decision theory. This book taught me far more than most of the courses, and it surely helps me more than all together when it comes to real-life decision making. I like ...             Making Smart Choices: How to Think About Your Whole Decision Problem: A Proactive Approach John S., III Hammond, Ralph L. Keeney, ... Harvard Business School Press, 1999 The ability to make smart choices is a fundamental life skill. This chapter introduces a straightforward, proven approach for making decisions--professional and personal, major and minor--that can profoundly enrich your possibilities and increase your chances of finding satisfying solutions.             Make Better Decisions--Faster (HBR OnPoint Collection) Eric Bonabeau, Dan Lovallo, ..., 2003 HBR OnPoint collections include an overview and three full-text HBR articles, each with a synopsis and annotated bibliography. Most business initiatives fail: 70% of manufacturing plants shut down within their first decade, 75% of mergers and acquisitions never pay off, and 80% of start-up ventures don't achieve their targeted market share. Why? ...             Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Trade-Offs Ralph L. Keeney, Howard Raiffa Cambridge University Press, 1993 Methodology on preference retrieval implementation This is a very good book grounded in solid microeconomic theory foundations. It starts with classical micro theory such as preferences and axioms, and it moves on to risky preferences and methods on how to retrieve them by constructing careful experiments. It also ...             The Hidden Traps in Decision Making (HBR OnPoint Enhanced Edition) John S., III Hammond, Ralph L. Keeney, ... Harvard Business Review, 2000 Decision researchers John S. Hammond, a management consultant, Ralph L. Keeney, a professor at the University of Southern California, and Howard Raiffa, a professor emeritus at the Harvard Business School, examine eight psychological traps likely to affect the way we make business decisions: The anchoring trap leads us to give disproportionate ...             Wise Choices: Decisions, Games, and Negotiations Harvard Business School Press, 1996 In this collection - a tribute to the lifetime intellectual odyssey of Howard Raiffa, world-renowned applied mathematician - leading scholars in economics, psychology, statistics, and decision theory grapple with the perennial question of how to make wise choices. Their answers reflect the unity of the three fields Raiffa pioneered: decision ...             Why Bad Decisions Happen to Good Managers (HBR Article Collection) Giovanni Gavetti, Jan W. Rivkin, ... Harvard Business Review, 2005 Seventy-five percent of strategic decisions fail: A merger doesn't pay off. A new division won't perform as intended. An innovative product languishes on store shelves. Why? While pondering strategic decisions, we misuse our cognitive powers. For example, we wrongly assume that a competitive strategy that worked in one industry will succeed in ...             Acceptable Risk Baruch Fischhoff, Sarah Lichtenstein, ... Cambridge University Press, 1984 Brilliant and insightful This is a brilliant and stimulating book. Although it nominally concerns itself with the area of hazard management, policy and technology choices associated with loss of life or limb, it provides a great deal of insight into all forms of risk management and formal ...             Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions John S. Hammond, Ralph L. Keeney, ... Broadway, 2002 Accessible and practical--the best guide to making decisions Most books on decision-making fall into two categories--anecdotal and analytical. The anecdotal ones provide insights, motivation, and case studies of decisions, but few specific techniques. The analytical ones provide powerful techniques, but require mathematical ...             Risk Tolerance: How to Account for Your Appetite for Risk John S., III Hammond, Ralph L. Keeney, ... Harvard Business School Press, 1999 This chapter looks at an important element of effective decision making, demonstrating how an awareness of your willingness to accept risk will make your decision-making process smoother.             Linked Decisions: How to Plan Ahead by Effectively Coordinating Current and Future Decisions John S., III Hammond, Ralph L. Keeney, ... Harvard Business School Press, 1999 Many important decisions require you to select now among alternatives that will greatly influence your decisions in the future. This chapter addresses an important element of effective decision making, illustrating how to deal more effectively with decisions that are linked over time.             Consequences: How to Describe How Well Each Alternative Meets Your Objectives John S., III Hammond, Ralph L. Keeney, ... Harvard Business School Press, 1999 This chapter looks at an important element of effective decision making: assessing frankly the consequences of each potential choice, which will help you identify those that best meet your objectives.             Uncertainty: How to Think About and Act on Uncertainties Affecting Your Decision John S., III Hammond, Ralph L. Keeney, ... Harvard Business School Press, 1999 Situations will arise in which you won't know what the consequences will be until after deciding. This chapter looks at one of the keys to effective decision making: confronting uncertainty, judging the likelihood of different outcomes and assessing their possible impacts.          products you might be interested in search for books consequences, coordinating, decisionmaking, negotiations, uncertainties, value-focused      toavi.com    web we recommend Accessible and practical--the best guide to making decisions randomly chosen book: National Identity (Ethnonationalism in Comparative Perspective)